Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Half way home

Since most teams are nearing the half way point of the season, I decided to put together a little standings spreadsheet that included some of the underlying numbers for each club. Specifically: Win %, GD (goal differential), SD (shot differential), and PDO (SV%+SH%). The latter number is discussed here and elsewhere at length. The Coles notes version is: anyone significantly above 1.00 is due for a fall and anyone well below is due for an improvement. It's a "regression to the mean" kind of thing.


Notes:

- Boston is doing it via percentages and not outshooting. They have to hit a wall eventually, don't they? Im guessing their 2nd half won't be nearly as impressive as their first.

- Ottawa has been bad AND unlucky.

- Toronto is in line for an improvement.

- I doubt Edmonton will make the play-offs. Again.

Feel free to add your own thoughts, insights etc.